03 March, 2019

El Nino triggered global disease outbreaks: Good chance it’s coming back

As the hottest summer on record refuses to die – so much of the country dead-dry, parts of it ablaze – the question is what’s next?
Jakarta health workers fog a street in Jakarta, in
July, 2018, to control the spread of dengue fever.
Forecasters predict a warmer autumn, a below-average rainfall – the drought unlikely to be broken any time soon – and maybe El Niño will turn up after all. And that’s a little scarier than we ever thought it would be.

As it stood through summer, there’s a 50 per cent chance – twice the normal likelihood – of El Niño developing during the southern hemisphere autumn or even winter.

And with it comes the risk of a global outbreak of disease – plague, cholera, dengue fever and more – if it’s anything like the El Niño of 2015 and 2016, according to a new report from NASA scientists.


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