Showing posts with label everywhere in the world. Show all posts
Showing posts with label everywhere in the world. Show all posts

18 January, 2020

Mitigation or adaptation? When it comes to climate change, it's not a case of either/or

Here's a ridiculously extreme best-case scenario: everywhere in the world, we immediately cease all human-made CO2 emissions. Right now. No emissions. Forevermore.
A bright sun set against a fire-red sky and trees in shadow
Whatever we do from here, we've locked in at least some amount
of warming — and the climate impacts that come with it.
Great! Problem solved! Right? Well, not quite.
Climate change is a long, heavy, slow moving train crawling across decades. Even if we pull the emergency brake right now, we're not stopping for a while yet.
I mean, in terms of warming trajectories, ceasing all emissions immediately would be a very good thing to do. The best science currently estimates that under this super extreme best case scenario we could probably keep warming to 1.5 degrees Celsius over pre-industrial levels.
But, even so — and especially if we shoot past 1.5 degrees and then 2 degrees, which is where the current trajectory takes us — the train has a hell of a distance to travel before it grinds to a halt. 
Whatever we do from here, we've locked in at least some amount of warming — and the climate impacts that come with it.