Showing posts with label shocked. Show all posts
Showing posts with label shocked. Show all posts

09 February, 2020

Philosophers should talk more about climate change. Yes, philosophers

I never cease to be shocked – shocked! – how many scientists don’t know how science works and, worse, don’t seem to care about it. Most of those I have to deal with still think Popper was right when he claimed falsifiability is both necessary and sufficient to make a theory scientific, even though this position has logical consequences they’d strongly object to.


Trouble is, if falsifiability was all it took, then arbitrary statements about the future would be scientific. I should, for example, be able to publish a paper predicting that tomorrow the sky will be pink and next Wednesday my cat will speak French. That’s totally falsifiable, yet I hope we all agree that if we’d let such nonsense pass as scientific, science would be entirely useless. I don’t even have a cat.

As the contemporary philosopher Larry Laudan politely put it, Popper’s idea of telling science from non-science by falsifiability “has the untoward consequence of countenancing as `scientific’ every crank claim which makes ascertainably false assertions.” Which is why the world’s cranks love Popper.



11 January, 2020

The truth about Australia's fires — arsonists aren't responsible for many this season

The world has been shocked by the scenes of devastation as the unprecedented destruction of Australia's horror bushfire season rages on.
A helicopter travelling over burning bushland.
A firefighting helicopter tackling a bushfire
in Victoria's East Gippsland region.
And, one big question has appeared in the headlines of late, here and internationally: how much is arson to blame?
While firebugs remain a legitimate and serious threat, they're responsible for about 1 per cent of the more than 5.2 million hectares that have been burned in NSW this season.
It's a similar story in other states.