Rhiannon Tuffield writes about “Warmer, drier conditions ahead” in today’s Shepparton News.
The Goulburn Valley is in for some fairly mild weather during the next month, with warmer and drier conditions forecast for much of the state.
Although heavy rain fell across much of Australia last month, bringing a downpour about Anzac Day, the Bureau of Meteorology has predicted a dry season ahead. Temperatures in April were above average across much of the country and will now continue into May, placing the country in the depths of an El Niño, signalling reduced rainfall through winter and into spring.
BoM senior climatologist Paul Gregory said the outlook for rainfall for June would be below average for Goulburn Valley, and days and nights would likely be warmer than average.
This time of the year has caused the tropical Indian Ocean to influence Australian rainfall and current model outlooks suggest cool conditions may persist in the central to east Indian Ocean, increasing the chance of dry conditions for south-east Australia.
“Around central and northern Victoria you’ll be looking at a 25 per cent chance of exceeding the average rainfall, so it looks fairly dry for this month,” Dr Gregory said.
“The likelihood of an El Niño has increased dramatically, and that means below average rainfall and less clouds around, which suggests some warmer nights ahead”.w