One of the biggest challenges in understanding climate
change is that the timescales involved are far longer than most people
are used to thinking about.
Garvey points out that this makes climate
change different from any other ethical question, because both the causes and
consequences are smeared out across time and space:
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| Steve Easterbrook. |
“There is a sense in
which my actions and the actions of my present fellows join with the past
actions of my parents, grandparents and great-grandparents, and the effects
resulting from our actions will still be felt hundreds, even thousands of years
in the future. It is also true that we are, in a way, stuck with the present we
have because of our past. The little actions I undertake which keep me warm and
dry and fed are what they are partly because of choices made by people long
dead. Even if I didn’t want to burn fossil fuels, I’m embedded in a culture set
up to do so.” (Garvey, 2008, p60)
Part of the problem is that the physical climate system is
slow to respond to our additional greenhouse gas emissions, and similarly slow
to respond to reductions in emissions. The first part of this is core to a
basic understanding of climate change, as it’s built into the idea of
equilibrium climate sensitivity (roughly speaking, the expected temperature
rise for each doubling of CO2 concentrations in the atmosphere). The extra heat
that’s trapped by the additional greenhouse gases builds up over time, and the
planet warms slowly, but the oceans have such a large thermal mass, it takes
decades for this warming process to complete.